Caro-Kann Defense
At 1400–1799 Elo, theory ends around half-move 14. The move that leaves it is a mistake in 12% of cases, 5.2 times as often as a move inside it.
Where theory ends
Half-move at which a game leaves what at least 100 games played. Half of all games end between the two outer numbers.
- up to 139912half-movehalf of the games: 10 to 15
- 1400–179914half-movehalf of the games: 11 to 16
- 1800+15half-movehalf of the games: 12 to 18
How risky the exit is
Share of moves that lose at least 10 points of winning chances, in the same stretch of the game (half-moves 8 to 24).
up to 1399
- Inside theory2.7%
- The move that leaves it16.5%
- After it15.8%
6.1× the risk of a move inside theory
1400–1799
- Inside theory2.2%
- The move that leaves it11.6%
- After it11.1%
5.2× the risk of a move inside theory
1800+
- Inside theory1.4%
- The move that leaves it7.9%
- After it7.6%
5.5× the risk of a move inside theory
Most common mistakes inside theory
Moves the engine rates down although many players choose them. The last move of each line is the mistake, the loss is the mean in points of winning chances.
- 1. e4 c6 2. d4 d5 3. Nc3 dxe4 4. Nxe4 Nf6 5. Ng5 h6 6. Nxf722,492 played, 14.7 points lost
- 1. e4 c6 2. d4 d5 3. e5 Bf5 4. Bd3 Bg69,917 played, 10.9 points lost
- 1. e4 c6 2. d4 d5 3. e5 Bf5 4. h4 e67,977 played, 23.4 points lost
- 1. e4 c6 2. Nf3 d5 3. d4 Bg47,530 played, 10.7 points lost
- 1. e4 c6 2. d4 d5 3. e5 c5 4. Nf3 Bg4 5. c3 Nc6 6. h36,336 played, 10.3 points lost
- 1. e4 c6 2. d4 d5 3. f3 dxe4 4. fxe4 Nf6 5. Nc36,112 played, 10.2 points lost
Where does your theory end?
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Opening names from the Lichess opening database (CC0). A game belongs to the most specific named opening it reaches within 39 half-moves.